Skip to main content

India’s 2021 excess deaths: was it the virus — or the containment frenzy?

By Bhaskaran Raman*

Tyagu (name changed), a vegetable vendor recalls of his brother’s death in 2021. The victim had a normal fever, but was forcibly taken away to the hospital saying that it was Covid. He had been coerced into taking the Covid-19 “vaccines” by that time. After 10 days in hospital, he died. There was no proper information during his hospital stay, and no one was allowed to visit, saying that visitors could also get Covid.
Was this death caused by the virus, or virus containment frenzy?
Paresh (name changed), a professor at a college recalls 2021 with deep sadness. He lost his sister in the month of May 2021. She had a mild fever and was advised to get the RT-PCR test, which came positive. She had a kidney failure in hospital in a few days. The family only got the dead body after that. In-between his brother-in-law had loose motions, but no fever or cold; he too got an RT-PCR positive. He too came back in a sealed bag. Even the last rites were conducted by the authorities, not by the family. There was no information on the patients or what medication they were given, during the hospitalization, no visitation was allowed.
Were these deaths caused by the virus, or virus containment frenzy?
The Indian Govt recently released the estimated number of deaths in 2021, based on data from the civil registration system. To no one’s surprise, 2021 showed a significant increase in deaths compared to prior years, i.e. there was significant “excess deaths”. Various “experts” as well as media have been quick to label these excess deaths as being undercounted Covid deaths. This is a complete misrepresentation and misinterpretation of the data as well as of the reality of 2021.
To the contrary, the data shows three things: (1) There was no pandemic or excess deaths in 2020, despite widespread spread of virus, (2) The 2021 excess deaths were primarily caused by panic and the fool’s errand to “contain” the virus, using the unfit-for-purpose PCR test, and (3) Covid-caused deaths were in fact overcounted rather than undercounted.
Little excess deaths in 2020
The above table gives the total deaths registered in the CRS, and the percentage increase in deaths each year. We can see that there was an even lesser increase in 2020 than in 2019. So there is no sign of the so-called “once-in-a-century” pandemic in 2020, as per this data.
The official narrative attributes this to lockdown. But such attribution is wrong, as the virus was spreading widespread in India anyway – none of the “containment” measures worked. For instance, as early as July 2020, 57% of Mumbai’s slum-dwellers showed antibodies from natural exposure. Where were the dead bodies from these slums from the so-called deadly virus? A reality check with any slum-dweller (household workers, office cleaners, taxi/auto drivers) will quickly reveal that there was no deadly virus in their midst in 2020.
Fool’s errand of virus containment
Legend has it that King Canute of England sat at the edge of the sea and ordered the tide to stay back. This was hubris. Virus containment efforts in 2020/2021 were even more of hubris-filled fool’s errand. Worse, all of the containment efforts caused immense damage and deaths.
Ventilators: In April 2020, thousands of people in New York were put on ventilators, not for the patient’s benefit, but toward virus containment. This was later corrected, but thousands had already paid the ultimate price for the containment frenzy.
Remdesivir: Remdesivir was pushed as an effective treatment for Covid, and it was selling in the black market for lakhs of rupees in India in 2021. But remdesivir was already known as poor viral treatment, and was stopped mid-way in a trial for the much more deadly Ebola virus. Worse, a study showed that Covid patients treated with remdesivir spent longer time in the hospital. Even worse, remdesivir is associated with renal failure as well as cardiotoxic effects.
Did Tyagu’s brother and Paresh’s sister die of Covid or of official panic-driven medications like remdesivir? Where is the honesty in probing this?
Inreased risks: Containment frenzy denied the majority of Indians sunlight and exercise for an entire year – increasing Vitamin-D deficiency, obesity, diabetes, hypertension, and anxiety – all of which increase anyone’s chance of death – Covid or no-Covid.
Societal destruction: Man is a social animal. Social connections are known to improve physical and mental health – that is why we visit friends/family in hospital. Whereas, containment frenzy saw the total destruction of societal fabric, with everyone considering everyone else as a biohazard. Why would deaths not increase, after one year of such destruction?
Economic destruction: Tens of millions of Indians lost jobs, lost their lifetime savings in the lockdown containment frenzy of 2020. So if an illness hits them shortly after, is the virus to be blamed or the mindless destruction of livelihood?
Given these, the primary likely cause of excess deaths in 2021 was the virus containment frenzy, rather than the virus itself. As 2020 data shows, the virus did not cause widespread excess deaths. The official claim that 2021 somehow saw a more deadly “delta” variant holds no water, and has little scientific evidence. The claim goes against known the virus evolution path of becoming less dangerous over time, and is a mere cover-up for the fool’s errand of virus containment.
Covid deaths overcounted
In the same CRS data, Kerala is supposed to be the state which “counted” Covid deaths most correctly. Nothing could be more absurd. Let us look at the official excess death count in Kerala. It had 3.4 lakh deaths in 2021 compared to 2.5 lakh deaths in 2020, an increase of about 36% ! Whereas the average excess death in 2021 for the whole of India was much lesser at about 26%.
The above conundrum has a simple explanation. Kerala was overcounting so-called Covid deaths by labeling any death following a PCR positive as Covid – as per the official protocol. Anyone who understands the PCR test will immediately tell that it does not detect virus presence, but only viral fragments, which can remain for several months after a person has successfully fought off the virus. Therefore, Kerala (the most among all states) denied healthcare to people based on a unfit-for-purpose PCR test, and hence ended up with a large excess death percentage.
Vaccine-caused deaths in 2021-22
None of the Covid vaccine candidates whose trial started in 2020, have completed phase-3 trial results. Specifically, the Indian governemnt as well as ICMR are till-date dodging the phase-3 trial results of both Covaxin and Covishield. Not just in India, but worldwide, there have been excess deaths following the mass roll-out of the inadequately tested products. India’s own life insurance claims data shows that 2022 has shown almost as high deaths as 2021. There has thus far been no honesty in probing this.
Summary
In summary, there is no doubt that India saw huge excess deaths in 2021. However, the attribution of this to the virus is an achievement of propaganda, rather than any logical analysis of available evidence. There have also been excess deaths in 2022, likely caused due to the unsafe Covid vaccines, and this has been swept under the rug. Indians would do well to learn that most of the media and most official “experts” acted in hubris during the Covid containment frenzy – this has implications for further such containment efforts – such as for bird flu, Nipah virus, etc.
---
*Bhaskaran Raman is a Professor at IIT Bombay; views are personal. He has authored the book “Math Murder in Media Manufactured Madness”, presenting simple math to illustrate various absurdities related to the mainstream Covid-19 narrative; available at: https://tinyurl.com/u5india

Comments

TRENDING

Grueling summer ahead: Cuttack’s alarming health trends and what they mean for Odisha

By Sudhansu R Das  The preparation to face the summer should begin early in Odisha. People in the state endure long, grueling summer months starting from mid-February and extending until the end of October. This prolonged heat adversely affects productivity, causes deaths and diseases, and impacts agriculture, tourism and the unorganized sector. The social, economic and cultural life of the state remains severely disrupted during the peak heat months.

Stronger India–Russia partnership highlights a missed energy breakthrough

By N.S. Venkataraman*  The recent visit of Russian President Vladimir Putin to India was widely publicized across several countries and has attracted significant global attention. The warmth with which Mr. Putin was received by Prime Minister Narendra Modi was particularly noted, prompting policy planners worldwide to examine the implications of this cordial relationship for the global economy and political climate. India–Russia relations have stood on a strong foundation for decades and have consistently withstood geopolitical shifts. This is in marked contrast to India’s ties with the United States, which have experienced fluctuations under different U.S. administrations.

From natural farming to fair prices: Young entrepreneurs show a new path

By Bharat Dogra   There have been frequent debates on agro-business companies not showing adequate concern for the livelihoods of small farmers. Farmers’ unions have often protested—generally with good reason—that while they do not receive fair returns despite high risks and hard work, corporate interests that merely process the crops produced by farmers earn disproportionately high profits. Hence, there is a growing demand for alternative models of agro-business development that demonstrate genuine commitment to protecting farmer livelihoods.

The Vande Mataram debate and the politics of manufactured controversy

By Vidya Bhushan Rawat*  The recent Vande Mataram debate in Parliament was never meant to foster genuine dialogue. Each political party spoke past the other, addressing its own constituency, ensuring that clips went viral rather than contributing to meaningful deliberation. The objective was clear: to construct a Hindutva narrative ahead of the Bengal elections. Predictably, the Lok Sabha will likely expunge the opposition’s “controversial” remarks while retaining blatant inaccuracies voiced by ministers and ruling-party members. The BJP has mastered the art of inserting distortions into parliamentary records to provide them with a veneer of historical legitimacy.

A comrade in culture and controversy: Yao Wenyuan’s revolutionary legacy

By Harsh Thakor*  This year marks two important anniversaries in Chinese revolutionary history—the 20th death anniversary of Yao Wenyuan, and the 50th anniversary of his seminal essay "On the Social Basis of the Lin Biao Anti-Party Clique". These milestones invite reflection on the man whose pen ignited the first sparks of the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution and whose sharp ideological interventions left an indelible imprint on the political and cultural landscape of socialist China.

Why India must urgently strengthen its policies for an ageing population

By Bharat Dogra   A quiet but far-reaching demographic transformation is reshaping much of the world. As life expectancy rises and birth rates fall, societies are witnessing a rapid increase in the proportion of older people. This shift has profound implications for public policy, and the need to strengthen frameworks for healthy and secure ageing has never been more urgent. India is among the countries where these pressures will intensify most sharply in the coming decades.

Thota Sitaramaiah: An internal pillar of an underground organisation

By Harsh Thakor*  Thota Sitaramaiah was regarded within his circles as an example of the many individuals whose work in various underground movements remained largely unknown to the wider public. While some leaders become visible through organisational roles or media attention, many others contribute quietly, without public recognition. Sitaramaiah was considered one such figure. He passed away on December 8, 2025, at the age of 65.

School job scam and the future of university degree holders in West Bengal

By Harasankar Adhikari  The school recruitment controversy in West Bengal has emerged as one of the most serious governance challenges in recent years, raising concerns about transparency, institutional accountability, and the broader impact on society. Allegations that school jobs were obtained through irregular means have led to prolonged legal scrutiny, involving both the Calcutta High Court and the Supreme Court of India. In one instance, a panel for high school teacher recruitment was ultimately cancelled after several years of service, following extended judicial proceedings and debate.

New RTI draft rules inspired by citizen-unfriendly, overtly bureaucratic approach

By Venkatesh Nayak* The Department of Personnel and Training , Government of India has invited comments on a new set of Draft Rules (available in English only) to implement The Right to Information Act, 2005 . The RTI Rules were last amended in 2012 after a long period of consultation with various stakeholders. The Government’s move to put the draft RTI Rules out for people’s comments and suggestions for change is a welcome continuation of the tradition of public consultation. Positive aspects of the Draft RTI Rules While 60-65% of the Draft RTI Rules repeat the content of the 2012 RTI Rules, some new aspects deserve appreciation as they clarify the manner of implementation of key provisions of the RTI Act. These are: Provisions for dealing with non-compliance of the orders and directives of the Central Information Commission (CIC) by public authorities- this was missing in the 2012 RTI Rules. Non-compliance is increasingly becoming a major problem- two of my non-compliance cases are...