Skip to main content

"Lacklustre" economic reforms: Market liberals disillusioned, "cultural warriors" alone Modi's top supporters

By A Representative
In a sharp critique of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s economic policies, America’s powerful business newspaper, “Wall Street Journal” (WSJ), has said in an opinion piece that “free-market liberals” in India are fast “losing faith that Modi will deliver on his promise to launch India on a path of prosperity.”
Warning that “lacklustre reform record will likely have electoral consequences”, despite whatever “senior politicians” from Modi's BJP argue, WSJ says, if one takes way “market liberals” from his support, “the only opinion makers left supporting the BJP are a group of culture warriors championing ancient Hindu glory.”
Written by WSJ columnist Sadanand Dhume, who is attached with the conservative Washington-based think-tank American Enterprise Institute, the article says, just two years ago, “a small but influential cohort of market-friendly analysts and commentators were among his most ardent supporters”, which is not the case how.
WSJ says, “Today many of them have lost enthusiasm for Modi, who appears to lack both clarity and appetite for bold reforms. The prime minister's advisors may pooh-pooh this development. India's elections, they say, are won by appealing to the masses, not to intellectuals spouting Adam Smith and Friedrich Hayek.”
Insisting that “they are wrong”, WSJ says,  “Loathed by the cultural left, Modi cannot afford to alienate the economic right. Should Finance Minister Arun Jaitley deliver another lacklustre budget next month – his third dud in a row – it will not only hurt India's economy but also his boss's re-election prospects.”
Giving examples of “most influential market liberals” who have signaled their disappointment, theWSJ says, one of them is “former cabinet minister Arun Shourie, who successfully privatized state-owned firms during Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee's tenure from 1998-2004”.
If Shourie recently accused the Modi government of confusing managing the economy with “managing the headlines”, investment guru Jim Rogers, once an enthusiastic Modi backer, has accused him of having done little “to change the basic macroeconomic problems facing India”, the opinion piece says.
While the government may have rolled out “red carpet for investors”, WSJ says, “In terms of minimizing government, particularly in business, the slogans have little connection with reality.”
Among the examples WSJ offers on failure of Modi to go in for market reforms, WSJ says, the proposed goods and services tax “to stitch India into a common market won't be rolled out this April as planned”, and the government has been forced to beat a retreat “on a proposal to ease land-acquisition norms for industry”.
Further, WSJ says, the reform of labour laws – which currently discourage job growth by making it difficult to lay off workers during a downturn – has been left to state governments; and the UPA directive “compelling companies to channel some of their profits toward social objectives continues, which is being used by politicians to “encourage” businessmen to fund their favorite boondoggles.
Finally, WSJ regrets, “Instead of winding up the previous government's flagship programme — a rural job guarantee that wasted billions of dollars — Modi plans to increase its funding.”
Pointing out that the Modi administration displays “no philosophical clarity on the economy”, WSJ says, this is clear from the fact that he seems to believe that “he can stem the rot in state-owned companies by picking the right managers rather than privatizing the firms.”

Comments

STRUCTURAL REFORMS ?

Speaking at the Global Business Summit yesterday , Shri Arun Jaitley said :
" We will introduce Structural Reforms in the forthcoming Union Budget "
What is the current structure of Union Budget ?
# SOURCES of REVENUE
* Taxes ( Direct + Indirect )
* Borrowings ( Domestic + Foreign )
* Sale / Leasing of Assets ( PSUs + Natural National Resources )

# DEPLOYMENT of REVENUE
* Administrative Expenses ( Salaries / Pensions / Maintenance / Subsidies , etc )
* Interest ( + Principal Amount ) on borrowings
* Developmental Expenses ( Creation of new Assets / Infrastructure )
* Lending

Broadly speaking , this is the current structure
Most of the time , all that the successive Finance Ministers have done is to slightly " Increase / Decrease " the " Sources and / or Deployment " of the funds , here and there
Once in a while , some Finance Minister , even introduced altogether NEW source or a NEW way to spend the revenue !
But so far , no one has attempted to change the FUNDAMENTAL STRUCTURE !
I wonder whether Shri Jaitleyji's BUDGETARY REFORMS would incorporate the following Structural Changes for which , I have sent to him ( and to most of his cabinet colleagues ), dozens of emails ? :

* Total abolition of Personal Income Tax ( Revenue Loss of approx Rs 2.5 lakh*crores )
* Introduction of 2% Bank Transaction Tax - BTT ( Revenue Gain of Rs 15 lakh*crores )
* Decreasing Corporate tax slab-rates based on No of permanent employees ( to encourage job creation )
* Perpetual Amnesty Scheme ( no questions asked as to the source for CASH deposits in Jan Dhan Accounts , if
funds from these Accounts are invested in Govt approved INFRASTRUCTURE SPVs )
So far , Rs 30,000 Crores have been deposited in Jan Dhan Accounts . With introduction of this REFORM ,
that figure will rise a thousand times to Rs 30,000,000 Crores , within one year !
These investments will generate 10 million jobs each year and raise our GDP to 10 % in 2016-17 !
* Transferring 10% of GST ( ie 1.8 % out of 18 % ) to PPF accounts of the buyers ( increase Domestic Savings )
* Embedding of RFID chips in Currency Note ( read Kurzweilai.net ) to solve twin problems of BLACK MONEY and
CORRUPTION
* Introducing " Budgeting By Objectives " ( instead of Monetary Allocations, setting Physical Targets for Ministers )
* Quarterly Performance Review of " Targets vs Actual Achievements " to be published on Govt web sites
* Thru an Online Opinion Poll , involving citizens in framing of the Ministry-wise Physical Targets before the budget

After second World War , German Economy was in shambles
68 years later , Germans are still thanking their then finance minister , Ludwig Erhard , for the miracle ("Wirtschaftswunder," German for "economic miracle") he brought through his " Out of the Box " reforms to revive the German Economy
I hope Shri Jaitley displays similar courage on 29 Feb 2016 - even if he is not bothered being remembered or not !
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
hemenparekh.in / blogs
31 Jan 2016

TRENDING

India's chemical industry: The missing piece of Atmanirbhar Bharat

By N.S. Venkataraman*  Rarely a day passes without the Prime Minister or a cabinet minister speaking about the importance of Atmanirbhar Bharat . The Start-up India scheme is a pillar in promoting this vision, and considerable enthusiasm has been reported in promoting start-up projects across the country. While these developments are positive, Atmanirbhar Bharat does not seem to have made significant progress within the Indian chemical industry . This is a matter of high concern that needs urgent and dispassionate analysis.

A comrade in culture and controversy: Yao Wenyuan’s revolutionary legacy

By Harsh Thakor*  This year marks two important anniversaries in Chinese revolutionary history—the 20th death anniversary of Yao Wenyuan, and the 50th anniversary of his seminal essay "On the Social Basis of the Lin Biao Anti-Party Clique". These milestones invite reflection on the man whose pen ignited the first sparks of the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution and whose sharp ideological interventions left an indelible imprint on the political and cultural landscape of socialist China.

Remembering a remarkable rebel: Personal recollections of Comrade Himmat Shah

By Rajiv Shah   I first came in contact with Himmat Shah in the second half of the 1970s during one of my routine visits to Ahmedabad , my maternal hometown. I do not recall the exact year, but at that time I was working in Delhi with the CPI -owned People’s Publishing House (PPH) as its assistant editor, editing books and writing occasional articles for small periodicals. Himmatbhai — as I would call him — worked at the People’s Book House (PBH), the CPI’s bookshop on Relief Road in Ahmedabad.

Swami Vivekananda's views on caste and sexuality were 'painfully' regressive

By Bhaskar Sur* Swami Vivekananda now belongs more to the modern Hindu mythology than reality. It makes a daunting job to discover the real human being who knew unemployment, humiliation of losing a teaching job for 'incompetence', longed in vain for the bliss of a happy conjugal life only to suffer the consequent frustration.

History, culture and literature of Fatehpur, UP, from where Maulana Hasrat Mohani hailed

By Vidya Bhushan Rawat*  Maulana Hasrat Mohani was a member of the Constituent Assembly and an extremely important leader of our freedom movement. Born in Unnao district of Uttar Pradesh, Hasrat Mohani's relationship with nearby district of Fatehpur is interesting and not explored much by biographers and historians. Dr Mohammad Ismail Azad Fatehpuri has written a book on Maulana Hasrat Mohani and Fatehpur. The book is in Urdu.  He has just come out with another important book, 'Hindi kee Pratham Rachna: Chandayan' authored by Mulla Daud Dalmai.' During my recent visit to Fatehpur town, I had an opportunity to meet Dr Mohammad Ismail Azad Fatehpuri and recorded a conversation with him on issues of history, culture and literature of Fatehpur. Sharing this conversation here with you. Kindly click this link. --- *Human rights defender. Facebook https://www.facebook.com/vbrawat , X @freetohumanity, Skype @vbrawat

Urgent need to study cause of large number of natural deaths in Gulf countries

By Venkatesh Nayak* According to data tabled in Parliament in April 2018, there are 87.76 lakh (8.77 million) Indians in six Gulf countries, namely Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). While replying to an Unstarred Question (#6091) raised in the Lok Sabha, the Union Minister of State for External Affairs said, during the first half of this financial year alone (between April-September 2018), blue-collared Indian workers in these countries had remitted USD 33.47 Billion back home. Not much is known about the human cost of such earnings which swell up the country’s forex reserves quietly. My recent RTI intervention and research of proceedings in Parliament has revealed that between 2012 and mid-2018 more than 24,570 Indian Workers died in these Gulf countries. This works out to an average of more than 10 deaths per day. For every US$ 1 Billion they remitted to India during the same period there were at least 117 deaths of Indian Workers in Gulf ...

New RTI draft rules inspired by citizen-unfriendly, overtly bureaucratic approach

By Venkatesh Nayak* The Department of Personnel and Training , Government of India has invited comments on a new set of Draft Rules (available in English only) to implement The Right to Information Act, 2005 . The RTI Rules were last amended in 2012 after a long period of consultation with various stakeholders. The Government’s move to put the draft RTI Rules out for people’s comments and suggestions for change is a welcome continuation of the tradition of public consultation. Positive aspects of the Draft RTI Rules While 60-65% of the Draft RTI Rules repeat the content of the 2012 RTI Rules, some new aspects deserve appreciation as they clarify the manner of implementation of key provisions of the RTI Act. These are: Provisions for dealing with non-compliance of the orders and directives of the Central Information Commission (CIC) by public authorities- this was missing in the 2012 RTI Rules. Non-compliance is increasingly becoming a major problem- two of my non-compliance cases are...

Buddhist shrines were 'massively destroyed' by Brahmanical rulers: Historian DN Jha

Nalanda mahavihara By Rajiv Shah  Prominent historian DN Jha, an expert in India's ancient and medieval past, in his new book , "Against the Grain: Notes on Identity, Intolerance and History", in a sharp critique of "Hindutva ideologues", who look at the ancient period of Indian history as "a golden age marked by social harmony, devoid of any religious violence", has said, "Demolition and desecration of rival religious establishments, and the appropriation of their idols, was not uncommon in India before the advent of Islam".

Minority rights group writes to Gujarat CEO, flags serious issues in SIR process

By A Representative   The Minority Coordination Committee (MCC) Gujarat has submitted a formal representation to the Chief Electoral Officer (CEO) of Gujarat, Harit Shukla (IAS), highlighting serious irregularities and difficulties faced by voters in the ongoing Special Intensive Revision (SIR) process of the electoral roll. The organisation warned that if corrective measures are not taken urgently, a large number of eligible citizens may be deprived of their voting rights.