Skip to main content

Used by US to break Soviet Empire once, Talibans now 'backed' by Russia against US

By Haider Abbas* 

The Afghan-Taliban (AT) had been camping around 40 kms to Kabul, the capital of Afghanistan since from quite sometime. But, now AT is gaining its foothold to almost the border of Kabul. AT is now engaged into fighting right at the gateway of Kabul. 
In the last few months AT seem to have seized the districts of Nerkh and Jalraiz in the province of Wardak, which is just 40 km from Kabul. AT also has captured Burka in Northern Baghlan province earlier this month after Afghanistan President Ashraf Ghani government troops had withdrawn from the area.
What now seems is the final countdown to the Ashraf Ghani government as AT have entered the Daulat Shah district of Laghman province as the final withdrawal of the last remaining around 2,500 US and roughly 7000 NATO troops has begun from May 1. The complete pullout is to happen before Sep 11, 2021 to bring to an end the America’s forever war. One now sees AT capturing large parts of Laghman with Ghani forces abandoning the area.
The AT spokesperson informed that AT has seized ‘two tanks, a military vehicle, and “lots of weapons and ammunition” after Afghan police and soldiers “fled” the area’. The fleeing of government forces is definitely to take a toll on the morale of the Afghan government forces as those assigned with a task to counter AT have deserted the fight.
If this abandonment from Afghan forces is set to continue then surely Ashraf Ghani government is likely to lose confidence of its own security apparatus, and for sure, Ghani’s life is to be further put-to-danger. It is therefore expected that very soon the Afghan scenario is set to enter into its last phase as no sooner AT are to hit the Kabul streets the bloody war is to ensue. Kabul is the last stronghold of Afghan government as now more than 90% of Afghanistan is under AT control.
After Daulat Shah falling AT are now knocking on the doors of Kabul. No wonder some time later any researcher might unveil that AT were being permanently ‘informed’ by the ‘inside sources’ of Kabul to help the Kabul Presidential Palace have a fall. Perhaps, no bigger news is just waiting to happen.
US is now in a scramble. Its defeat in Afghanistan was inevitable as Russia and now China were helping AT to blunt US teeth. Politics is mating of strange bedfellows. It was once US which used Taliban to break the Soviet Empire and now Russia is supporting Taliban against US! 
US Secretary of Defense, General Lloyd Austin, according to US Department of Defense on May 24, called Pakistan Army Chief Qamar Javed Bajwa for ‘help’ though officially the press-release said. ‘Secretary Austin and General Bajwa discussed regional dynamics and shared interest in security and stability in the region’.
The objective, as can be understood was to have sought pressure from Pakistan on AT but Pakistan at this juncture does not seem to ‘give-into’. US as its last effort to help make Ashraf Ghani to ‘stay remain’ wanted AT to conform to Constitution of Afghanistan and accede to formation of government through democracy but AT throughout had been a reluctant customer as AT always insisted on Shariah to be the ‘rule of state’.
Meanwhile, it is leant that Australia, a very strong ally of US in probably all of its wars, has decided to shut its embassy in Afghanistan, in the wake of "an increasingly uncertain security environment". Its troops over the years had been considerably reduced from 1,500 to mere 80. 
It is a widely known fact that AT considers those Afghan nationals who have worked for or with foreign governments as traitors and no wonder the Afghans say that they have been abandoned (to) face retribution from Taliban, reported "The Guardian" on May 25.
But, surely, the AT entry into Kabul is not to be a cake-walk as tanks, helicopters and an entire military paraphernalia would be in place ‘ready for assault’ . Yet, the psychological war is in favour of AT as the government forces know it well that over 90% of the land is now under AT and that the US presence is also a matter of time. 
There are visibly now three possibilities. The first Ashraf Ghani might flee, the second a bloodshed in Kabul or the third that the government forces might hand-over Ashraf Ghani to AT. Any of this breaking news is very likely to come in a few days!
It may also be considered that AT are also not set for a jolly-ride, even if it is a post-Ashraf time as the ghost of ISIS has entered Afghanistan and AT are against it. AT have been assured China’s economic help in lieu of a peaceful Afghanistan. China has made its intentions clear to carry its CPEC project to Afghanistan to reach to Central Asia.
For China Asharf Ghani, or Abdullah Abdullah or AT may be as good as long as there is peace. It is for this sake, Qamar Javed Bajwa visited Kabul on May 10. China stands firmly by Pakistan which has made Pakistan to bid almost a ‘bye-bye’ to US as Pakistan has refused to provide its bases to US as Pakistan wants US to leave at the earliest.
Pakistan in fact is now also gravitating towards Russia and India has abandoned Russia for US. India is gearing up to join QUAD and particularly after BECA with US India is now to be a formidable US ally for some decades to come. India invested heavily with non-AT governments in Afghanistan for the sole purpose to keep AT away from Kashmir, which India has now assimilated further into after August 5, 2019, when PM Narendra Modi abrogated Article 370 which gave special status to J&K, something which prompted China and Pakistan to carry the issue to UNSC for thrice in one year. 
 ---
*Former State Information Commissioner, UP, political analyst

Comments

Afghan expert said…
I was appalled to read the Afghanistan article by Hassan Abbas.
The fellow does not have an idea of the country's geography. Laghman, for instance, is not on the periphery of Kabul.
The fellow has picked up some news points from here and there and just cooked up an incoherent narrative. The language is very faulty from start to finish.
Afghanistan is pretty much a specialist subject. In my humble view, those without credentials should not be given the hospitality of your platform on any subject. And since Counterview comes out in English, a writer such as this rules himself out.

TRENDING

Nobel laureates join international figures, seek release of Bhima Koregaon accused activists

Nobel laureates Olga Tokarczuk,  Wole Soyinka Counterview Desk  As many as 57 top international personalities, including Nobel laureates, academics, human rights defenders, lawyers cultural personalities, and members of Parliament of European countries, have urged the Prime Minister and the Chief Justice of India to ensure immediate release of human rights defenders in India “into safe conditions”.

Buddhist shrines massively destroyed by Brahmanical rulers in "pre-Islamic" era: Historian DN Jha's survey

Nalanda mahavihara By Our Representative Prominent historian DN Jha, an expert in India's ancient and medieval past, in his new book , "Against the Grain: Notes on Identity, Intolerance and History", in a sharp critique of "Hindutva ideologues", who look at the ancient period of Indian history as "a golden age marked by social harmony, devoid of any religious violence", has said, "Demolition and desecration of rival religious establishments, and the appropriation of their idols, was not uncommon in India before the advent of Islam".

Swami Vivekananda's views on caste and sexuality were 'painfully' regressive

By Bhaskar Sur* Swami Vivekananda now belongs more to the modern Hindu mythology than reality. It makes a daunting job to discover the real human being who knew unemployment, humiliation of losing a teaching job for 'incompetence', longed in vain for the bliss of a happy conjugal life only to suffer the consequent frustration.

Russia, China to call the shots in Middle East, as Muslim nations turn into house of cards

By Haider Abbas* Only a naive would buy that the ‘situation of ceasefire’ between the State of Israel and Hamas would continue, as if the foiled attempt to demolish Al Aqsa this time, is not be repeated, if not in any near future then in sometime to come. Israel already has spurned the ‘ceasefire’ by storming Al Aqsa after the Friday prayers on May 21.

Collapse of healthcare system? Why 90% of Covid patients treated at home survived

By Bobby Ramakant, Sandeep Pandey* Well known Hindustani classical singer Padma Vibhu shan Channulal Mishra, chosen as one of the proposers of Narendra Modi in Lok Sabha elections, lost his wife and elder daughter to Covid in private hospitals in Varanasi. Younger daughter has accused Medwin Hospital of charging Rs 1.5 lakh for treatement of her sister and not being able to explain the cause of death. Pandit Channulal Mishra has asked for a probe into his daughter’s death from the Chief Minister. The family has also asked for the CCTV footage of the ward where deceased daughter was admitted for a week.

Hunger, lack of food security behind India's 'slip' in UN's sustainable development rank

By Dr Gian Singh*  According to a report released by the United Nations on June 6, 2021, India's ranking of achieving Sustainable Development based on the 17 Social Development Goals (SDGs) set by the 193 countries in the 2003 agenda, which was 115th last year, has slipped to 117th position this year. India ranks not only the lowest among the BRICS countries -- Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, China, and South Africa but also below the four South Asian countries -- Bhutan, Sri Lanka, Nepal, and Bangladesh.

Modi-led regime 'contributed' 60% to rise of global poverty, yet Hindutva is intact

By Bhabani Shankar Nayak* In recent years, the Hindutva politics has caused long term damage to India and Indians. The so called 56-inch macho PM, the propaganda master manufactures and survives all political crisis including the current mismanagement of the Coronavirus pandemic in India. In spite of deaths and destitutions, the social, cultural, economic and religious base of Hindutva is intact.

Rooted in mistrust? Covid-19’s march into rural India is a very different ball game

By Sudhir Katiyar* As the Covid-19 virus penetrates rural India, the rural communities are responding very differently from their urban counterparts who rushed to the hospitals. The rural communities are avoiding the public health facilities and any mention of the disease. The note argues that this supposedly irrational response is based on a deep-seated mistrust of the state by the rural communities. It can not be resolved with routine Information, Education and Communication (IEC) measures suggested in the Government of India SOP for tackling Covid-19 in rural areas.

Courageous, in-depth attempt to confirm common spiritual values of Christ, Buddha

By RB Sreekumar, IPS*  All religions, both theistic and atheistic designed conceptual and practical architecture, for holistic and comprehensive elevation and enlightenment of humanity. PK Vijayan, in his novel “Nirvana of Jesus Christ” (Notion Press, 2020) through creative imagination portrayed personality evolution of the two progenitors of God-centric and sagaciously logical major religions – Jesus Christ of Christianity and Gautama Buddha of Buddhism.

Why hasn't Govt of India responded to US critique of freedom of religion under Modi?

By Fr Cedric Prakash SJ* About two weeks ago, on May 12, 2021, the US Secretary of State Antony J Blinken released in Washington the ‘2020 International Religious Freedom Report.’ This official annual report of the US Government details the status of religious freedom in nearly 200 foreign countries and territories and describes US actions to support religious freedom worldwide. Mandated by the International Religious Freedom Act of 1998, this report highlights the fact that ‘religious freedom is both a core American value and a universal human right’.