Skip to main content

Whither self-reliant defence policy? China, Pak seek to trap India, 'support' Russia

By Firoz Bakht Ahmed* 

Having seen Russia attack Ukraine for whatever reasons, with territorially ambitious neighbour like China and a vouched adversary, Pakistan, India must be completely self-reliant in defence preparedness, rather than banking on the US, Russia or anyone else. In today’s panic-stricken world, nobody is anybody’s friend but one’s own, as has been depicted in the case of the US and NATO nations, ditching Ukraine in the lurch, when it needed them the most. 
This is a universal truth that only powerful and militarily strong nations are taken up seriously by the other world powers.
As has been witnessed so many times in the case of the US and certain other nations, war is the ultimate instrument of state power which is employed by a country as a last resort. Truth is that most conscientious and accountable leaders would avoid indulging in the horrendous adventurism of war owing to the irreparable and irreversible loss to human life, property and other assets.
If a country is militarily backward, stronger nations’ mouths often water for the forceful occupation. This has been seen in the Middle-East in the wars imposed upon some Arab nations by US and NATO supported Israel in the past for territorial and political issues. Even in 1962-63, China used the same illogical method to occupy the Indian territory.
Ukraine, first being pushed by the US and NATO on account of hollow and false promises and subsequently deceived and left alone to be pounded by a hundred times stronger Russia, is again the same old story of a David being pitted against Russia!
After observing the expansionist urge in Russia and China, India must not remain complacent in view of two nuclear nations and even the neighbours like Sri Lanka and Nepal. God forbid, let there be no world war but despite that India must be alert and alarmed of both, Russia and Pakistan, and the strategy of tacking one diplomatically and the other one militarily rather than opening both the fronts, might not work. If there is any war-like scenario, both China and Pakistan will, in all probability, trap India.
Reality is that India, as per her commitment to the Panchsheel policy of international peace, has never attacked any nation. Indian policy makers understood the linkage between peace and development and survival of mankind. In view of the destruction caused by the two world wars, they realized that for the progress of a nation, a durable world peace was needed. Without global peace, social and economic development is likely to be pushed to the background.
While India has left no stone unturned in pursuing diplomatic efforts for improving relations with the neighbours , a crucial matter of concern has been the repeated terrorists’ and insurgents’ infiltrations both by Pakistan and China. This is also true that relations between India and China have been worsening during the recent months. Though India believes in tackling one neighbour by diplomacy while taking the other straight on, yet the Sino-Pak attack threat is imminent.
India and China, the two world powers, are facing off against each other along their disputed border in the Himalayan region at the LAC (Actual Line of Control). Tensions have remained hotter despite the less than zero freezing temperatures there, especially after the showdown between the India soldiers and the Chinese PLA, where 20 Indian soldiers and an equal number of the Chinese had to lay down their lives. The Chinese mouth has always watered for Indian territory, especially, Arunachal Pradesh.
The track record of terrorist attacks on India at the behest of Pakistan, including the Pulwama attack, Uri attack, Parliament blast, Jaipur blast, Delhi blast and many more, have forced India to be the second-largest importer of defence equipment after Saudi Arabia. This weaponry is extremely expensive and has been telling on the national economic growth.
However, time is ripe for India to be absolutely self-reliant especially witnessing the current Ukraine-Russia crisis and the way China has her malicious designs on Taiwan and Hong Kong have been exposed. Of course a matter of worry has been the way China has been infiltrating into the 3,440km (2,100-mile)-long ill-defined and disputed Sino-Indian border. No country will help, if China attacks.
A seething example of this is the help required by Pakistan in the December 1971 Indo-Pak war while the Indian army launched blitzkrieg into the erstwhile East Pakistan (now Bangladesh) where the American President RM Nixon, after being requested by the Pakistani dictator, General Yahya Khan , at the behest of Henry Kissinger, sent its US Seventh Fleet’s Task Force 74, led by the nuclear powered aircraft carrier “Enterprise”, to proceed towards the Bay of Bengal.
Though the Seventh Fleet did come at the behest of the Pak President General Yahya but couldn’t do anything and Pakistan lost its eastern territory of the former, East Pakistan along with 97,000 soldiers. Neither China proved efficacious in the Pakistan misadventure of suppressing the Bangla speaking masses, nor the US except with the jargon of hollow promises.
India should have learnt a lesson from that episode. 
India’s defence budget as percentage of GDP has been diminishing over the passage of time, presently assessed at about 2%
Frankly speaking, after the Galwan valley skirmishes, even China came to know that India is a tough nut to crack with one of the best and largest of the armies. Therefore, if a country is weak, anybody may take the advantage.
According to retired Lt Gen Balbir Singh Sandhu, the talk of aatmanirbhar Bharat (self-reliance) policies of the government are very well received but their implementation must not result in delays and procurement of poor-quality weapons and equipment from the defence PSUs. Development of light combat aircraft (LCA) and Arjun, main battle tank (MBT), have taken decades which highlight the shortcomings in our indigenization programmes.
Nevertheless, the fact is, in spite of the alleged kickback taken in the Bofors AB during the 1980s and 1990s, in the 1999, Kargil Indo-Pak war, it was this gun only that sent the Pak soldiers back. Truth is that countries take decades to be globally competitive in defence industry and strategy. Merely, lip-service announcement of policies will not be sufficient.
Another loophole is the problem of bureaucratic delays that come in the way of prompt arms supply and hence, rightly suggested by Sandhu that there is an urgent need to integrate the military and bureaucracy. 
All bureaucrats must do at least one year of compulsory military service at the beginning of their career in active military units and those who are likely to be involved in procurement, must do periodic stints with armed forces and attend their professional courses so that they understand the ground realities.
Besides, some officers from the services must be laterally inducted into the Ministry of Defence after about 15 years of service on a permanent basis so that they can make valuable contributions by becoming part of the procurement set up. Having learnt from the past of the alliances like the NATO, where members share the cost of defence preparedness, India is to bear the high cost of maintaining standing armed forces that need to fight by themselves in the absence of an alliance.
As per the defence experts, about 2 to 3% of the GDP expenditure by a country is considered optimum to have the right balance between development and security. What’s lamentable is that India’s defence budget as percentage of the GDP has been diminishing over the passage of time, presently assessed at about 2% that is really wanting.
Indeed, defence preparedness must be supported by a vigorous economy so that development and defence go simultaneously. Though the QUAD (Quadrilateral Security Dialogue) is there in the Indo-Pacific sea to counter any adventurism by China in sea and the Himalayas are the natural saviours of India, in case of any attack from China, nobody would come to the rescue of China as has been the case of Ukraine.
Apart from that, transfer of defence technology, competitive research and development and active participation of private sector must be heeded to, to produce weapons and equipment of international standards. In addition to that, high rate of economic growth for a sustained period is a must for the country to support military modernization. Why Ukraine won’t be able to continue defending in the war is because its economy has been limping.
One must remember, there are no compromises in war. The only solution for a nation like India is a highly perfect and indigenous defence industry to make India a force to reckon with as military power. Why India wasn’t taken seriously by China in 1962 was basically owing to the reason that India wasn’t a military self-reliant country.
Finally, the recent assault by Russia against Ukraine is a classic case of a bigger fish consuming the smaller one and India must be up with the best in defence industry with the active participation of the private sector besides a high rate economy parameter.
---
*Political commentator, grandnephew of Maulana Abul Kalam Azad

Comments

TRENDING

From algorithms to exploitation: New report exposes plight of India's gig workers

By Jag Jivan   The recent report, "State of Finance in India Report 2024-25," released by a coalition including the Centre for Financial Accountability, Focus on the Global South, and other organizations, paints a stark picture of India's burgeoning digital economy, particularly highlighting the exploitation faced by gig workers on platform-based services. 

'Condonation of war crimes against women and children’: IPSN on Trump’s Gaza Board

By A Representative   The India-Palestine Solidarity Network (IPSN) has strongly condemned the announcement of a proposed “Board of Peace” for Gaza and Palestine by former US President Donald J. Trump, calling it an initiative that “condones war crimes against children and women” and “rubs salt in Palestinian wounds.”

Gig workers hold online strike on republic day; nationwide protests planned on February 3

By A Representative   Gig and platform service workers across the country observed a nationwide online strike on Republic Day, responding to a call given by the Gig & Platform Service Workers Union (GIPSWU) to protest what it described as exploitation, insecurity and denial of basic worker rights in the platform economy. The union said women gig workers led the January 26 action by switching off their work apps as a mark of protest.

India’s road to sustainability: Why alternative fuels matter beyond electric vehicles

By Suyash Gupta*  India’s worsening air quality makes the shift towards clean mobility urgent. However, while electric vehicles (EVs) are central to India’s strategy, they alone cannot address the country’s diverse pollution and energy challenges.

Jayanthi Natarajan "never stood by tribals' rights" in MNC Vedanta's move to mine Niyamigiri Hills in Odisha

By A Representative The Odisha Chapter of the Campaign for Survival and Dignity (CSD), which played a vital role in the struggle for the enactment of historic Forest Rights Act, 2006 has blamed former Union environment minister Jaynaynthi Natarjan for failing to play any vital role to defend the tribals' rights in the forest areas during her tenure under the former UPA government. Countering her recent statement that she rejected environmental clearance to Vendanta, the top UK-based NMC, despite tremendous pressure from her colleagues in Cabinet and huge criticism from industry, and the claim that her decision was “upheld by the Supreme Court”, the CSD said this is simply not true, and actually she "disrespected" FRA.

Stands 'exposed': Cavalier attitude towards rushed construction of Char Dham project

By Bharat Dogra*  The nation heaved a big sigh of relief when the 41 workers trapped in the under-construction Silkyara-Barkot tunnel (Uttarkashi district of Uttarakhand) were finally rescued on November 28 after a 17-day rescue effort. All those involved in the rescue effort deserve a big thanks of the entire country. The government deserves appreciation for providing all-round support.

Whither space for the marginalised in Kerala's privately-driven townships after landslides?

By Ipshita Basu, Sudheesh R.C.  In the early hours of July 30 2024, a landslide in the Wayanad district of Kerala state, India, killed 400 people. The Punjirimattom, Mundakkai, Vellarimala and Chooralmala villages in the Western Ghats mountain range turned into a dystopian rubble of uprooted trees and debris.

Over 40% of gig workers earn below ₹15,000 a month: Economic Survey

By A Representative   The Finance Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman, while reviewing the Economic Survey in Parliament on Tuesday, highlighted the rapid growth of gig and platform workers in India. According to the Survey, the number of gig workers has increased from 7.7 million to around 12 million, marking a growth of about 55 percent. Their share in the overall workforce is projected to rise from 2 percent to 6.7 percent, with gig workers expected to contribute approximately ₹2.35 lakh crore to the GDP by 2030. The Survey also noted that over 40 percent of gig workers earn less than ₹15,000 per month.

Fragmented opposition and identity politics shaping Tamil Nadu’s 2026 election battle

By Syed Ali Mujtaba*  Tamil Nadu is set to go to the polls in April 2026, and the political battle lines are beginning to take shape. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to the state on January 23, 2026, marked the formal launch of the Bharatiya Janata Party’s campaign against the ruling Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK). Addressing multiple public meetings, the Prime Minister accused the DMK government of corruption, criminality, and dynastic politics, and called for Tamil Nadu to be “freed from DMK’s chains.” PM Modi alleged that the DMK had turned Tamil Nadu into a drug-ridden state and betrayed public trust by governing through what he described as “Corruption, Mafia and Crime,” derisively terming it “CMC rule.” He claimed that despite making numerous promises, the DMK had failed to deliver meaningful development. He also targeted what he described as the party’s dynastic character, arguing that the government functioned primarily for the benefit of a single family a...