Skip to main content

Consumption pattern, not economic shock behind 'poor' child health indicators

By Neeraj Kumar, Arup Mitra*

The findings of the latest round of National Family Health Survey (NFHS-5) conducted in 2019-20 covering 22 States/UTs under Phase-I present a somewhat disappointing picture of children’s health in India. Majority of the experts, based on prima facie evidence, just highlighted the deteriorating sign of child health in terms of increase in proportion of stunted and underweight children in most of the phase-I states/UTs over last two rounds of NFHS (2015-16 to 2019-20).
Several authors concluded that the poorer child health outcomes during last five years are either due to economic slowdown, deteriorating public health care systems, or due to adverse effects of poverty, unemployment and the economic shocks India experienced. However, a careful examination of NFHS-5 data shows considerable improvement in close to 100 of the 131 indicators associated directly or indirectly with child health and social welfare.  
Along with an increase in the proportion of stunted (low height for age), wasted (low weight for height) and underweight (weight for age) children in most of the phase-I states over past five years, we see a larger increase in proportion of overweight children in almost all the states during the same period.
We also find evidence of falling mortality rates, enormous improvements in sanitation and hygiene facilities, improved breastfeeding and dietary pattern among infants and toddlers, higher immunization coverage, better utilization of maternal care facilities and increased government’s support in terms of higher utilization of insurance and financing scheme.
All these evidence, contrary to the widely spread narrative around deteriorating children’s health, neither suggest reversal/stagnation in gains in child mortality trends, nor made us conclude that poorer child health outcomes are caused by ill effects of economic slowdown, poverty, unemployment, economic shocks or due to deteriorating public healthcare system.

Child nutrition

The four key indicators, measuring cumulative status of child nutrition -- stunting (low height for age), wasting (low weight for height), underweight (low weight for age) and overweight, in children below 5 years of age -- show a mixed pattern. Deterioration in these indicators suggests acute or chronic child under-nutrition.
Child stunting worsened in 13 of the 22 phase-I states/UTs. Maximum increase of 8 percentage points in the level of child stunting is witnessed in Tripura from 24.3% in 2015 to 32.3% in 2019. Likewise, Goa saw an increase in child stunting level by 5.7 percentage points to 25.8% in 2019 from 20.1% in 2015.
Gujarat and Maharashtra witnessed marginal increase in the level of stunting by 0.5 percentage points and 0.8 percentage points respectively. Kerala, which had the lowest level of child stunting (19.7%) in 2015, witnessed an increase of 3.7 percentage points and is now replaced by Sikkim in this ranking. Sikkim shows improvement in the level of child stunting to the tune of 7.3 percentage points from 29.6 in 2015 to 22.3% (lowest) in 2019.
Sixteen of the 22 states saw an increase in the proportion of underweight children below age 5 in 2019 as compared to 2015. These include Nagaland where 26.9% children are underweight in 2019 as compared to 16.7% in 2015. Himachal Pradesh, Kerala and Telangana showed increase of 4.3 percentage points, 3.6 percentage points and 3.4 percentage points respectively. Bihar causes surprises with improvement in this indicator from 43.9% to 41% over the same period.
Child wasting became worse in 12 of the 22 states/UTs. Maximum increase in the level of child wasting is witnessed in Ladakh from 9.3% in 2015 to 17.5% in 2019 followed by Nagaland and Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) by 7.8 percentage points and 6.8 percentage points respectively. Karnataka shows maximum improvement where child wasting rate came down from 26.1% to 19.5%.
Another cumulative child health indicator -- the proportion of overweight children under 5 -- is hardly discussed in any of the recent articles highlighting deteriorating child health, despite the fact that this indicator worsened in almost all phase-I states/UTs. Only two UTs show marginal improvement. Even overweight/obesity among men and women has gone up in most states.
Exploring the root cause of deterioration in this indicator may unveil a different story. A story not based on the arguments floating around that increase in prevalence of stunted and underweight children in many states is due to economic slowdown, low employment and incomes, or due to poor health care facilities. Let us have a look at the following indicators:

Child mortality

Neonatal, Infant and Under-Five Mortality Rates (NMR, IMR and U5MR) across most Indian states declined in the past 5 years. To be precise, 15 states/UTs of the 22 states saw steep reduction in all these three child mortality indicators. Sikkim, Jammu & Kashmir, Assam and Ladakh witnessed a steep reduction in all NMR, IMR and U5MR with magnitude of reduction in the range of 10.3 percentage points to 21 percentage points.
IMR and U5MR declined in 18 of the 22 states/UTs. Sikkim and Mizoram saw decline in IMR by 18.3 and 18.8 percentage points respectively, while U5MR declined by 21 and 22 percentage points respectively in these two states. The four states/UTs of Tripura, A&N, Manipur and Meghalaya recording an increase in all the three child mortality indicators are the worst performing states in terms of these child mortality indicators. Overall the picture is, however, improving; certainly it doesn’t look as bad as portrayed.

Immunisation

Full immunization drive among children aged 12-23 months have substantially improved across the states/UTs. We look at 10 key vaccination indicators across the 22 phase-I surveyed states/UTs covering children age between 12-23 months who are fully vaccinated and protected against key childhood diseases based on different information criteria.
Over the past half a decade, there has been expeditious increase in full immunization coverage in many states/UT. Of these 220 instances (10*22), immunization coverage improved in 155 cases. The improvement was to the tune of over 10 percentage points in 11 of the 22 states/UTs and in another 4 states/UTs between 5 to 9 percentage points during the said period. More than two-third of children are fully immunized in all the States and UTs except Nagaland, Meghalaya and Assam.
In almost three-fourths of districts, 70% or more children aged 12-23 months are fully immunized against childhood diseases. The percentage increase in children 12-23 months receiving 3 doses of penta or hepatitis B vaccine, from about 64% in 2015 to 84% in 2019 across all 22 states/UTs, is a good story to tell. Sikkim, Kerala and Goa show declines in immunization coverage but these states already had high levels of coverage.

Breast-feeding, diet of infants, toddlers

We examine 5 key indicators viz. percentage of children under age 6 months exclusively breastfed, children age 6-8 months receiving solid or semi-solid food and breastmilk, breastfed children age 6-23 months receiving an adequate diet, non-breastfed children age 6-23 months receiving an adequate diet, and total children age 6-23 months receiving an adequate diet across the 22 states/UTs. In 73 of these 110 (5*22) cases, improvements in breast-feeding and dietary pattern of the children are witnessed.
The proportion of children aged 6-23 months receiving an adequate diet improved in 17 of the 22 states/UTs surveyed. This along with an increase in overweight children indicates that it is not the quantity but quality of diet which needs focus and further examination. That is, more than income levels of households, how they spend their incomes, what they offer their children and the quality and nutrition value of offered / available food items need to be seen.

Maternal care facilities

We also track the following 6 key indicators over the two NFHS rounds across the 22 states/UTs: proportion of mothers who had an antenatal check-up in the first trimester, who had at least 4 antenatal care visits, whose last birth was protected against neonatal tetanus, who consumed iron folic acid for 100 days or more and for 180 days or more when they were pregnant, and who received postnatal care from a professional health personnel within 2 days of delivery.
Of these 132 instances, the proportion of these maternal care indicators improved in 97 cases. For example, proportion of mothers who had an antenatal check-up in the first trimester increased consistently in 17 of the 22 states/UTs surveyed (others witnessed marginal decline). Similarly, the proportion of mothers who received professional postnatal care increased in 18 of the 22 states/UTs. These improvements do not suggest deteriorating maternal health care facilities.

Sanitation, hygiene facilities

Enormous improvements in sanitation and hygiene facilities, and access to electricity and clean fuel for cooking, are witnessed in all the states. Only in Sikkim, marginally fewer households have access to electricity, improved sanitation facilities and improved drinking water source. That is, standard of living and basic infrastructure support are improving at quite a fast pace at pan India level.
Other indicators such as the number of households covered under a health insurance/financing scheme increased, on an average, from 26% in 2015 to 37.2% in 2019 in all the states/UTs surveyed. Still low but significantly improving in 16 of the 22 states/UTs. Average education level is also improving across the states.
All these factors put together, which directly or indirectly determine general wellbeing of an average household and thereby dietary pattern of children, show signs of improvement across the states/UTs. Now, looking at the status of cumulative child health indicators, the questions arise: what exactly constitute diet of children under five? What is the micronutrient content of their diet? What is the structure of consumption pattern of an average household? And how these three indicators performed during past half a decade.

Compulsion to spend on non-food items

There is a possibility that the consumption of nutritious food is on the decline. Both the demonstration effects and compulsions to spend for non-food items may have raised the consumption of junk food or prompted households to make compromises on the consumption of nutritious food items.
The fact that the low income households may have to spend on education and curative heath care of the children forces many to downgrade the quality of food while the quantity might have been maintained. Hence, it is time to probe into these directions and identify the areas of possible interventions so that the out of pocket expenditure that the households incur does not involve significant trade-offs in relation to the quality of food children consume. 
India is moving away from the diet which comprised what is known as a poor man’s protein to consumption of less nutritious fancy food
To improve food security and nutrition, India has already implemented the Public Distribution System, the Integrated Child Development Services and the Mid-day Meals programme, which are amongst world’s three largest programs. India’s economy has also grown substantially and steadily since 1991. And, yet half of India’s children under 5 were stunted in 2005-06 (NFHS-3).
This number was 38.4% in 2015-16 (NFHS-4) and now the average stunting level stands at approximately 32% in the 22 states/UTs surveyed in 2019-20 (NFHS-5), which is still high. India cannot afford to have these many children consuming less nutritious and low quality food. If the demographic dividend has to be reaped and the productivity of the future labour force has to be enhanced today’s children who are tomorrow’s youth must be able to access supplies of quality food. A few suggestions to help reduce malnutrition level in India are presented below.

Brazil's zero hunger programme

The centrepiece of the Brazil’s Fome Zero (Zero Hunger) programme is Bolsa Familia, a conditional cash transfer programme which encourages low-income Brazilians to send their children to clinics and school. It is learnt that the success of such program requires extensive participation of civil society along with coordinated action by all areas of government at federal, state and municipal levels.
Recipient families report access to increased quantities of food and more diverse diets. Brazil’s school feeding program is also one of the largest in the world and provides free meals in all public schools like India’s Mid-day meal scheme. This programme encourages purchase and use of locally produced fruits and vegetables from local smallholders as much as possible.
This enhances not only the nutrition content in children’s diet but also small farmers’ incomes and school enrolments. Brazil mandates fortification of all of its wheat and corn flour with iron and folic acid by law since April 2004 to meet its anemia control targets.
Micronutrient malnutrition in Indian children should be tackled through improving dietary diversity, and supplementation or mandatory food fortification. A few examples have shown evidence of the feasibility and effectiveness of biofortified vitamin A-rich crops such as orange sweet potato for increasing maternal and child vitamin A intake.
Nutrition-sensitive interventions in agriculture, social safety nets, early child development, and education must be adopted. A combinations of all these high-priority targeted efforts has helped Brazil reduce food insecurity and malnutrition. 

Initiatives in India

An initiative started in a remote border district of Mizoram developed edible terrace gardens in schools and anganwadi centres. Children are encouraged to consume more fruits and vegetables during their mid-day meals. This not only improved self-sufficiency in fruits and vegetables at low cost, but also improved nutrition value of children diet. UNICEF’s community-led Nutrition Gardens in Chhattisgarh also sets a good example in promoting nutrition levels and reduction in incidence of diseases associated with malnutrition.
Farmers in rural Odisha have utilized their backyard spaces to grow seasonal fruits and vegetables. This has also increased participation by women and an improvement in their economic conditions with the sale of produce. A study from rural Maharashtra suggests that nutri-gardens/community gardens have tremendous potential to decrease malnutrition in children.
Above all, parental awareness and schooling must be on top priority to improve nutrition outcomes. Anganwadi centres and other grassroots social activists must be tapped to include nutrition related information in their discussions with parents. All schools must include nutrition sensitive curricula for prevention and treatment of undernutrition or obesity.
Counselling on breastfeeding and complementary feeding, meaning of complete diet, vitamin A campaigns, relevance of iron in pregnancy, sanitation and hygiene, deworming for kindergartens, and most importantly, growth monitoring through widespread awareness are essential to reduce malnourishment in children.
Civil society’s proactive participation, fortification of essential food items with legal provisions, popularizing community/kitchen organic-gardens, awareness about low cost nutritious food, growth monitoring of children, ill-effects of fast/packaged food, through widespread media campaigns with special focus on vulnerable groups may help curb micro-nutrient deficiencies and improve child health in India. Particularly among the low income households the meaning and implications of junk food and less nutritious diet will have to be explained intensely.
The misconceptions about food, particularly being led by the commercial advertisements, will have to be cleared. Else, a rise in consumption expenditure per capita will not ensure good health and improvement in productivity. It is important to realise that India is at the crossroads, moving away from the diet which comprised what is known as a poor man’s protein to consumption of less nutritious fancy food.  
---
Neeraj Kumar, a member of the Indian Economic Service, is deputy director with the Ministry of Finance, Government of India; Arup Mitra is professor of Economics with the Institute of Economic Growth, Delhi. Views expressed are personal

Comments

TRENDING

'Violation of Apex Court order': Delhi authorities blamed for dog-bite incidents at JLN Stadium

By A Representative   People for Animals (PFA), led by Ms. Ambika Shukla, has held the Municipal Corporation of Delhi (MCD) responsible for the recent dog-bite incidents at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, accusing it of violating Supreme Court directions regarding community dogs. The organisation’s on-ground fact-finding mission met stadium authorities and the two affected coaches to verify details surrounding the incidents, both of which occurred on October 3.

The silencing of conscience: Ideological attacks on India’s judiciary and free thought

By Sunil Kumar*  “Volunteers will pick up sticks to remove every obstacle that comes in the way of Sanatan and saints’ work.” — RSS Chief Mohan Bhagwat (November 6, 2024, Chitrakoot) Eleven months later, on October 6, 2025, a man who threw a shoe inside the Supreme Court shouted, “India will not tolerate insults to Sanatan.” This incident was not an isolated act but a continuation of a pattern seen over the past decade—attacks on intellectuals, writers, activists, and journalists, sometimes in the name of institutions, sometimes by individual actors or organizations.

Adani Power controversy, legacy of pollution and broken dreams in Bihar

By Kumar Krishnan*  The decision to lease 1,050 acres of land in the Pirpainty region of Bhagalpur district to Adani Power for 33 years at a mere ₹1 per acre annual rent has become a major political issue in Bihar. Congress President Rajesh Ram, Bihar in-charge Krishna Allavaru, Legislature Party Leader Dr. Shakeel Ahmad Khan, and Legislative Council Leader Dr. Madan Mohan Jha have already marched from Sadakat Ashram to Rajendra Babu's samadhi in Patna over this issue. Pawan Khera and Kanhaiya Kumar are vocally opposing it. Additionally, allied parties of the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance) are also protesting. The Congress party even held a march in Patna on this matter.

N-power plant at Mithi Virdi: CRZ nod is arbitrary, without jurisdiction

By Krishnakant* A case-appeal has been filed against the order of the Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (MoEF&CC) and others granting CRZ clearance for establishment of intake and outfall facility for proposed 6000 MWe Nuclear Power Plant at Mithi Virdi, District Bhavnagar, Gujarat by Nuclear Power Corporation of India Limited (NPCIL) vide order in F 11-23 /2014-IA- III dated March 3, 2015. The case-appeal in the National Green Tribunal at Western Bench at Pune is filed by Shaktisinh Gohil, Sarpanch of Jasapara; Hajabhai Dihora of Mithi Virdi; Jagrutiben Gohil of Jasapara; Krishnakant and Rohit Prajapati activist of the Paryavaran Suraksha Samiti. The National Green Tribunal (NGT) has issued a notice to the MoEF&CC, Gujarat Pollution Control Board, Gujarat Coastal Zone Management Authority, Atomic Energy Regulatory Board and Nuclear Power Corporation of India Limited (NPCIL) and case is kept for hearing on August 20, 2015. Appeal No. 23 of 2015 (WZ) is filed, a...

History, culture and literature of Fatehpur, UP, from where Maulana Hasrat Mohani hailed

By Vidya Bhushan Rawat*  Maulana Hasrat Mohani was a member of the Constituent Assembly and an extremely important leader of our freedom movement. Born in Unnao district of Uttar Pradesh, Hasrat Mohani's relationship with nearby district of Fatehpur is interesting and not explored much by biographers and historians. Dr Mohammad Ismail Azad Fatehpuri has written a book on Maulana Hasrat Mohani and Fatehpur. The book is in Urdu.  He has just come out with another important book, 'Hindi kee Pratham Rachna: Chandayan' authored by Mulla Daud Dalmai.' During my recent visit to Fatehpur town, I had an opportunity to meet Dr Mohammad Ismail Azad Fatehpuri and recorded a conversation with him on issues of history, culture and literature of Fatehpur. Sharing this conversation here with you. Kindly click this link. --- *Human rights defender. Facebook https://www.facebook.com/vbrawat , X @freetohumanity, Skype @vbrawat

New RTI draft rules inspired by citizen-unfriendly, overtly bureaucratic approach

By Venkatesh Nayak* The Department of Personnel and Training , Government of India has invited comments on a new set of Draft Rules (available in English only) to implement The Right to Information Act, 2005 . The RTI Rules were last amended in 2012 after a long period of consultation with various stakeholders. The Government’s move to put the draft RTI Rules out for people’s comments and suggestions for change is a welcome continuation of the tradition of public consultation. Positive aspects of the Draft RTI Rules While 60-65% of the Draft RTI Rules repeat the content of the 2012 RTI Rules, some new aspects deserve appreciation as they clarify the manner of implementation of key provisions of the RTI Act. These are: Provisions for dealing with non-compliance of the orders and directives of the Central Information Commission (CIC) by public authorities- this was missing in the 2012 RTI Rules. Non-compliance is increasingly becoming a major problem- two of my non-compliance cases are...

Epic war against caste system is constitutional responsibility of elected government

Edited by well-known Gujarat Dalit rights leader Martin Macwan, the book, “Bhed-Bharat: An Account of Injustice and Atrocities on Dalits and Adivasis (2014-18)” (available in English and Gujarati*) is a selection of news articles on Dalits and Adivasis (2014-2018) published by Dalit Shakti Prakashan, Ahmedabad. Preface to the book, in which Macwan seeks to answer key questions on why the book is needed today: *** The thought of compiling a book on atrocities on Dalits and thus present an overall Indian picture had occurred to me a long time ago. Absence of such a comprehensive picture is a major reason for a weak social and political consciousness among Dalits as well as non-Dalits. But gradually the idea took a different form. I found that lay readers don’t understand numbers and don’t like to read well-researched articles. The best way to reach out to them was storytelling. As I started writing in Gujarati and sharing the idea of the book with my friends, it occurred to me that while...

Celebrating 125 yr old legacy of healthcare work of missionaries

Vilas Shende, director, Mure Memorial Hospital By Moin Qazi* Central India has been one of the most fertile belts for several unique experiments undertaken by missionaries in the field of education and healthcare. The result is a network of several well-known schools, colleges and hospitals that have woven themselves into the social landscape of the region. They have also become a byword for quality and affordable services delivered to all sections of the society. These institutions are characterised by committed and compassionate staff driven by the selfless pursuit of improving the well-being of society. This is the reason why the region has nursed and nurtured so many eminent people who occupy high positions in varied fields across the country as well as beyond. One of the fruits of this legacy is a more than century old iconic hospital that nestles in the heart of Nagpur city. Named as Mure Memorial Hospital after a British warrior who lost his life in a war while defending his cou...

Citizens’ group to recall Justice Chagla’s alarm as India faces ‘undeclared' Emergency

By A Representative  In a move likely to raise eyebrows among the powers-that-be, a voluntary organisation founded during the “dark days” of the Indira Gandhi -imposed Emergency has announced that it will hold a public conference in Ahmedabad to highlight what its office-bearers call today’s “undeclared Emergency.”