Skip to main content

Billion vaccine doses? Devil is in details: 70% haven't got 2nd jab; numbers jacked up

By Prof Ujjwal K Chowdhury* 

India has reached the one billion Covid-19 vaccinations milestone. It is indeed a great news and a big salute to the less paid ordinary health-workers in interiors of India for this feat.
The government wants all of India's 944 million adults to get vaccinated this year. Around three-quarters of adults in the country of 1.3 billion people have had one shot and around 30 percent are fully vaccinated, the government says.
The five states that have administered the highest number of doses are Uttar Pradesh, followed by Maharashtra, West Bengal, Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh.
India's milestone comes months after a huge spike in cases in April and May, when more than 400,000 infections and 4,000 deaths were reported per day and the country's health infrastructure was overwhelmed.
Cases have now sharply fallen, with fewer than 15,000 infections per day, and most activity has returned to normal. Mumbai, where cases peaked in the second surge, recently reported zero deaths in a day for the first time since the pandemic began.
Moving ahead it is important note to gloat in self-glory and look at some pertinent issues in this context, which a laudatory media shall not be raising today on behalf of the nation.
First, around 250 million adult Indians have not got even a single dose of the vaccine, and they are mostly the most marginalized sections of the population, urban or rural, and a lot many tribals.
Second, the 100 crore doses include both the doses. Government itself says that only 30% of the adult population has been fully vaccinated, and that leaves a whopping 700 million adult Indians unvaccinated.
Third, the children below 18 years, who number almost 400 million, are completely unvaccinated till date, and that has created a situation of education emergency in the country with no physical classes running in the entire country except some pockets as on October 20, 2021. Worse still, there is no declared strategy or policy for children’s vaccination on a war footing.
Fourth, the media celebration of 1 billion doses calling it as the fastest and among top two nations to have achieved the feat is ill placed. There are only two nations above 1 billion population, and China had already achieved 1 billion doses and now racing close to 2 billion doses, which they will achieve before December at the current rate.
Fifth, very importantly, we would have crossed this milestone much earlier if the process was started by the government in time in 2020 (and not in January 2021), if initially large chunks of vaccines were not exported to create global image and vaccine diplomacy and the focus was on the safety of our country-men first, if Covishield and Covaxin were given financial support or advance bulk orders as done in other vaccine producing nations, and if WHO approved foreign vaccines wanting to come to India in 2020 were allowed to import and sell.
Even the rules and responsibilities of vaccination were not clear and changed several times though under the Disaster Management Act, the Centre assumes full responsibilities during such crises.
Sixth, a large number of Indians, specially of urban areas, had to buy their vaccine doses, from as low as Rs 300 to as high as Rs 4,000 per dose in private hospitals. The polio vaccines were delivered free to the entire population decades back. India as a nation was much poorer then. But people spent for their jabs, and that crosses 20% of the adult population.
Seventh, the vaccination process started with two doses given with a gap of 28 days, which increased to 42 and now 84 days, and without scientific basis, glaringly exposing the ill-preparedness even till May 2021.
The second wave killed officially less than 100,000, but several estimates by the scientific community world-over show it to be more than a million. Now that the production has been ramped up, why cannot we get back to 28 to 35 days gap between jabs, so that more can be vaccinated and faster? The frontline workers with 28 days gap vaccination have not reported to have developed any widespread reaction.
Observers have raised questions as to how an infrastructure clocking 70 lakh doses a day could deliver 2.5 crore on a specific day
Eighth, September 22 reports in ndtv.com and a few other media outlets have reported and shown images of several vaccination certificates of people who actually did not receive the jab, as they were given on September 17, PM’s birthday, to set a record of 2.5 crore vaccines that day, while the daily average till then was around 70 lakh of jabs.
Observers have raised questions as to how an infrastructure clocking 70 lakh doses a day could deliver 2.5 crore on a specific day. In at least one case, of Vidya Sharma in MP (Aagar-Malwa district), the lady dead four months earlier, got her vaccination certificate on September 17! In June, several reports were there of 13-14 years old children receiving certificates too without any jab being delivered!
Ninth, the government of India has opened up vaccine exports once again, in October 2021, while still 70% of adults and 100% of children are yet to be fully vaccinated. There is no way that production can be ramped up to cover the entire population and ensure exports at the same time, as of now. This may be another challenge brewing ahead.
Tenth, and finally, though the new cases are much lesser now, the current ongoing festival season with huge gatherings will need to be prevented and the consequences observed till mid-November after Diwali is celebrated in the first week of November. We need to learn our lessons from the second surge of April-May, 2021, following Kumbh Mela and elections in five states.
Every pro-people success is important and needs to be rejoiced, but not at the cost of bitter facts alongside and the much needed caution not to plunge into another major crisis.
---
*Secretary, Global Media Education Council, and former Pro Vice Chancellor of Kolkata-based Adamas University

Comments

Archana Datta said…
Very valid questions have been raised. In reality, only 27% to 30%, received both the doses, which only matters. So why this brouhaha? Only publicity gimmick, to distract global attention. Besides, when many people like us paid for the jab, the PM's photo is a big irritant.

TRENDING

Countrywide protest by gig workers puts spotlight on algorithmic exploitation

By A Representative   A nationwide protest led largely by women gig and platform workers was held across several states on February 3, with the Gig & Platform Service Workers Union (GIPSWU) claiming the mobilisation as a success and a strong assertion of workers’ rights against what it described as widespread exploitation by digital platform companies. Demonstrations took place in Delhi, Rajasthan, Karnataka, Maharashtra and other states, covering major cities including New Delhi, Jaipur, Bengaluru and Mumbai, along with multiple districts across the country.

CFA flags ‘welfare retreat’ in Union Budget 2026–27, alleges corporate bias

By Jag Jivan  The advocacy group Centre for Financial Accountability (CFA) has sharply criticised the Union Budget 2026–27 , calling it a “budget sans kartavya” that weakens public welfare while favouring private corporations, even as inequality, climate risks and social distress deepen across the country.

'Gandhi Talks': Cinema that dares to be quiet, where music, image and silence speak

By Vikas Meshram   In today’s digital age, where reels and short videos dominate attention spans, watching a silent film for over two hours feels almost like an act of resistance. Directed by Kishor Pandurang Belekar, “Gandhi Talks” is a bold cinematic experiment that turns silence into language and wordlessness into a powerful storytelling device. The film is not mere entertainment; it is an experience that pushes the viewer inward, compelling reflection on life, values, and society.

From water scarcity to sustainable livelihoods: The turnaround of Salaiya Maaf

By Bharat Dogra   We were sitting at a central place in Salaiya Maaf village, located in Mahoba district of Uttar Pradesh, for a group discussion when an elderly woman said in an emotional voice, “It is so good that you people came. Land on which nothing grew can now produce good crops.”

The Epstein shock, global power games and India’s foreign policy dilemma

By Vidya Bhushan Rawat*  The “Epstein” tsunami has jolted establishments everywhere. Politicians, bureaucrats, billionaires, celebrities, intellectuals, academics, religious gurus, and preachers—all appear to be under scrutiny, even dismantled. At first glance, it may seem like a story cutting across left, right, centre, Democrats, Republicans, socialists, capitalists—every label one can think of. Much of it, of course, is gossip, as people seek solace in the possible inclusion of names they personally dislike. 

Swami Vivekananda's views on caste and sexuality were 'painfully' regressive

By Bhaskar Sur* Swami Vivekananda now belongs more to the modern Hindu mythology than reality. It makes a daunting job to discover the real human being who knew unemployment, humiliation of losing a teaching job for 'incompetence', longed in vain for the bliss of a happy conjugal life only to suffer the consequent frustration.

Paper guarantees, real hardship: How budget 2026–27 abandons rural India

By Vikas Meshram   In the history of Indian democracy, the Union government’s annual budget has always carried great significance. However, the 2026–27 budget raises several alarming concerns for rural India. In particular, the vague provisions of the VBG–Ram Ji scheme and major changes to the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme (MGNREGA) have put the future of rural workers at risk. A deeper reading of the budget reveals that these changes are not merely administrative but are closely tied to political and economic priorities that will have far-reaching consequences for millions of rural households.

Michael Parenti: Scholar known for critiques of capitalism and U.S. foreign policy

By Harsh Thakor*  Michael Parenti, an American political scientist, historian, and author known for his Marxist and anti-imperialist perspectives, died on January 24 at the age of 92. Over several decades, Parenti wrote and lectured extensively on issues of capitalism, imperialism, democracy, media, and U.S. foreign policy. His work consistently challenged dominant political and economic narratives, particularly those associated with Western liberal democracies and global capitalism.

Gujarat No 1 in Govt of India pushed report? Not in labour, infrastructure, economy

By Rajiv Shah A report by a top Delhi-based think tank, National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER), prepared under the direct leadership of Amitabh Kant, ex-secretary, Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP), Government of India, has claims that Gujarat ranks No 1 in the NCAER State Investment Potential Index (N-SIPI), though there is a dig. N-SIPI has been divided into two separate indices. The first one includes five “pillars” based on which the index has been arrived it. These pillars are: labour, infrastructure, economic conditions, political stability and governance, and perceptions of a good business climate. It is called N-SIPI 21, as it includes a survey of 21 states out of 29.